tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13588125.post116256435987915837..comments2023-10-20T22:58:52.569+03:00Comments on Botanist on Alp: Praising Billmonstockholm slenderhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16909107517362691387noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13588125.post-1163086431597935942006-11-09T17:33:00.000+02:002006-11-09T17:33:00.000+02:00Yes, very satisfactory. I would term it also resto...Yes, very satisfactory. I would term it also restoring some degree of faith in the rationality of the democratic process. It is not self-evident that we will continue to share common enlightenment values. In the US there is a growing part of voters who specifically do not share enlightenment values - when this is connected with shortsighted capital and overly monetized and corrupt elite politics, the last few years have been very frightening. I suppose we will see whether this a beginning of healthy counter reaction or a false dawn.stockholm slenderhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16909107517362691387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13588125.post-1163063475848554602006-11-09T11:11:00.000+02:002006-11-09T11:11:00.000+02:00And indeed, it's Karl Rove, who's wondering how hi...And indeed, it's Karl Rove, who's wondering how his strategies lost all those Senate seats.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13588125.post-1163063356802397772006-11-09T11:09:00.000+02:002006-11-09T11:09:00.000+02:00This result is a Democratic landslide, getting bot...This result is a Democratic landslide, getting both Houses of Congress and more governors than the Republicans is just that. Schwarzenegger did win but it was thanks to his green views and spirit of bipartisanship.<BR/><BR/>Democratic victory in the Missouri Senate race was a huge upset and a blow to the religious right.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13588125.post-1162904222277413902006-11-07T14:57:00.000+02:002006-11-07T14:57:00.000+02:00But US democracy usually works better in president...But US democracy usually works better in presidential elections. The voters don't care about the congress and they're pretty apathetic. Remember that most races aren't competitive at all, America is divided in red and blue states and these are divided in red and blue districts. Outcomes in most of these races are given and incumbency is still very important.<BR/><BR/>We're talking about a handful of competitive races that may decide the outcome of the election. Maybe the turnout could get high in those, I don't know. The overall turnout will certainly stay low, as always, and this helps the GOP to stay in control. Only a third of the Senate is in play and this means the voter sentiment of one particular election year will never have a great impact on the upper house. The impact will show on the House of Representatives and a switch there to a Democratic majority is likely. It depends on the voters today, though.<BR/><BR/>Don't consider Americans stupid, though. Just think about any municipality that is dominated by Keskusta in Finland. No matter how disjointed the folks there could get about Keskusta leadership, they'd still want their party in power in their territory. They couldn't imagine voting for another party. Many places in America are like that, either Democratic or Republican but not easily switchable to the other party. Of course, in the long run anything is possible. Some decades ago, in mid 20th Century most currently Democratic states used to be Republican and vice versa. But after that big realignment the map has become remarkably stable. Democratic victories in Senate races in Missouri and Tennessee would send strong signals that something is happening. Yet the Republicans are still the favorites in those states. In only a matter of hours we'll be wiser.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13588125.post-1162880380130694752006-11-07T08:19:00.000+02:002006-11-07T08:19:00.000+02:00Well, I quite fervently hope that it would be a De...Well, I quite fervently hope that it would be a Democratic landslide. If even the current utter disaster isn't enough for the electorate, what is? I used to think that (admittedly in a very messy and unsatisfactory way) incompetence and mendacity are really punished by the voters. If this mechanism stops working a society is in grave danger.stockholm slenderhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16909107517362691387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13588125.post-1162810986167851542006-11-06T13:03:00.000+02:002006-11-06T13:03:00.000+02:00I think Billmon's latest (November 5) post "The Id...I think Billmon's latest (November 5) post "The Idiocracy Vote" is right about the very strong possibility of a last-minute shift toward Republicans in the electorate.<BR/><BR/>Tomorrow will be very exciting to see which party wins.<BR/><BR/>My feeling is the Democrats will get control of the House but not by very many seats. Republicans will keep control of the Senate and there will be many Senate races that the Democrats will wonder how they could lose them.<BR/><BR/>Republicans winning in Texas and Florida gubernatorial races will also shock the Democrats. This is the year the Republicans were beatable in both states, Texas and Florida Republicans have shown an unlimited tendency toward bungling and they came up with uninspiring candidates, yet they seem to win both key gubernatorial contests.<BR/><BR/>Whereas the Democrats will win by a landslide in New York state (in House, Senate and Gubernatorial elections), their joy of recapturing the NY Governor's office will be somewhat diminished by Arnold Schwarzenegger's re-election in California. I always thought Schwarzenegger would win but losing the gubernatorial contest in California in otherwise such a good year for them, the Democrats will not be too happy about those results.<BR/><BR/>We'll see tomorrow what happens, this was my hunch.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com